Market Primer
The title of the 2008 Bitcoin white paper
The title of the 2008 Bitcoin white paper. Image: Satoshi Nakamoto, CC0

Layer 12Crypto and digital privacy

The read

Analysis of Oct 28, 2026, on data through Oct 28, 2026. Charts under each judgment are its evidence; sources are linked in the text.

  • Crypto has missed the 2026 rally. Bitcoin was $80,056 in the week to Oct 26, 2026, 36% below its previous high, and ether 52% below its previous high, while US stocks are near records (Layer 8). Bitcoin peaked at $120,910 in the week to Oct 5, 2025. Its correlation with technology stocks is 0.35, higher than in 75% of weeks since 2015, so it trades partly as a leveraged technology bet rather than a hedge.

    Bitcoin price

    Dollars, weekly average, log scale.

    Source: Coinbase.

    Readings in this chart

    Bitcoin and ether: how far below their previous highs

    Percent below the highest price to date, weekly low.

    Source: Coinbase.

    Readings in this chart

    Correlation of bitcoin with technology stocks

    Correlation of daily returns of bitcoin and the Nasdaq Composite over the previous 90 shared trading days, weekly average. 1 means they move together; 0 means unrelated.

    Source: Coinbase; Nasdaq.

    Readings in this chart